Interesting Indian Demographics

India’s TFR is only 2.5—and falling steadily. This figure barely exceeds that of the United States. In 2011, the US fertility rate was estimated at 2.1, essentially the replacement level; a more recent study now pegs it at 1.93. Still, from a global perspective, India and the US fall in the same general fertility category, as can be seen in the map posted here.

via India’s Plummeting Birthrate: A Television-Induced Transformation? | GeoCurrents.

India’s Plummeting Birthrate: A Television-Induced Transformation? | GeoCurrents

The author relates the drastic (and relatively recent) decline to the advent of television, and in particular to soap operas.

Television depresses fertility because many of its offerings provide a model of middle-class families successfully grappling with the transition from tradition to modernity, helped by the fact that they have few children to support.

India’s Plummeting Birthrate: A Television-Induced Transformation? | GeoCurrents

Baby Boom And Baby Bust Cities

 

America’s Baby Boom And Baby Bust Cities | Newgeography.com.

Alarm bells are beginning to ring in policy circles over the decline of the U.S. birth rate to a record low.

But the decline is not across the board – some areas are experiencing growth.  In fact, the Austin metro area is 2nd in the nation – up 38% in under 15 year olds in the past 10 years.

So where is the Baby Bust?

Buffalo’s youth population declined 16%, Detroit’s, 15%; and Cleveland’s 14%.

But its not just declining Rust Belt cities.  Los Angeles and San Francisco have empty classrooms, too.

New York has lost about as many children as Dallas-Ft. Worth has gained — a difference of a half million. The gap between increasingly childless Los Angeles and Houston is even wider, and approaches 600,000.

What does this matter?

knowing where new families and households are forming should be of critical interest not only to demographers, but to investors, businesses and, over time, even politicians.

Welcome to the future.

Megaslums – The Solution?

Dhaka Bangladesh | Megacity | Urbanization.

Depending on how one measures, the planet now boasts 20 or so megacities — urban agglomerations where the United Nations estimates the population has reached 10 million or more. The world’s rapid urbanization is a reality fraught with both peril and hope. The peril is obvious. Overcrowding, pollution, poverty, impossible demands for energy and water all result in an overwhelming sense these megacities will simply collapse. But the hope, while less obvious, needs more attention. The potential efficiencies of urban living, the access to health care and jobs, along with plummeting urban birth rates have all convinced some environmental theorists the migration to cities may in fact save the planet. But only, these experts hasten to add, if this shift is well managed.

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